The Salmon Price
Intelligence Terminal
Norway sets the global price. We forecast it. Weekly intelligence on the market that supplies half the world's Atlantic salmon.
Salmocast brings transparency to the salmon market with AI-powered price forecasting. Built on 48 real-time signals, from biomass and lice data to export volumes and news sentiment, our platform helps farmers, traders, and analysts make better decisions with forward-looking price intelligence.
4-Week Price Forecasts
AI-powered weekly forecasts using LightGBM machine learning, with SHAP explanations showing exactly what drives each prediction.
Supply Pressure Index
Proprietary index combining biomass, harvest patterns, and biological signals across all 13 Norwegian production regions.
Real-time Market OSINT
Live news sentiment from 12+ industry sources, classified by AI. Know what moves the market before prices react.
Verified Track Record
Every forecast is publicly tracked against the SISALMONI benchmark. No black boxes, our accuracy record is fully transparent.
Forecast Track Record
Every prediction verified against the official SISALMONI benchmark. Full transparency, no black boxes.
| Week | Base | Forecast | Actual | Error | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading track record... | |||||
4-Week Price Forecasts
AI-powered weekly forecasts built on 48 supply, demand, and biological signals. Know where prices are heading before your competitors do.
- LightGBM machine learning model
- SHAP explanations for every prediction
- 80% confidence intervals
- Updated automatically every Tuesday
[Screenshot of /forecast page showing price chart and weekly breakdown]
Full Market Intelligence
Live supply pressure index, news sentiment, export volumes, sea temperature, and biomass data — everything that moves salmon prices in one place.
- Real-time news sentiment from 12+ sources
- 13 production region breakdown
- Traffic light lice zone status
- EU export demand tracking
Satellite Farm Intelligence
Every licensed salmon farm in Norway mapped with real-time operational data. Lice counts, license capacity, ownership structure, and stock performance per site.
- 1,200+ active farm locations
- Weekly lice data from BarentsWatch
- MTB capacity per license
- Parent company financials
[Screenshot of /datapoints showing market drivers]
Market Drivers Dashboard
Track every factor that moves salmon prices. Feed costs, currency rates, substitute proteins, sea temperatures, and equity sentiment in one view.
- Feed commodity prices (fishmeal, soy, wheat)
- NOK/EUR and NOK/USD exchange rates
- Competing protein benchmarks
- Sea temperature anomalies
The signals that move the market
Our models ingest 48 price-driving signals from primary sources — government registries, commodity exchanges, biological monitoring networks, and macro indicators. Updated weekly. Fully auditable. This is what powers the forecast.
Fiskeridirektoratet
Farm locations, MTB capacity, production zones, regulatory status. Pulled automatically via public API.
BarentsWatch
Weekly lice counts, sea temperatures, fish health. Direct feed from Norway's coastal monitoring network.
Fish Pool ASA
SISALMONI spot index, forward curves, derivatives data. The NASDAQ-cleared global benchmark.
Statistics Norway
Export volumes, trade flows, macro indicators. Official government statistics, machine-readable.
Federal Reserve
FX rates, competing proteins, feed commodities, global macro. Updated daily from FRED.
News Pipeline
12+ industry sources, company filings, regulatory announcements. NLP-processed for market sentiment.
Intelligence for every link in the chain
From Norwegian fjords to Tokyo sushi bars, decisions worth billions ride on salmon price expectations. We give you the edge.
Producers & Farmers
Optimize harvest timing against forward price curves. Plan smolt releases with 18-month visibility into market conditions. Coordinate MTB utilization across sites when you know where prices are heading.
- Harvest window optimization
- Production cycle planning
- Site capacity allocation
Exporters & Trading Desks
Price contracts with confidence using weekly forecasts benchmarked against FishPool. Time spot purchases around predicted price movements. Manage EUR/NOK exposure with integrated currency signals.
- Contract pricing models
- Spot timing signals
- FX-adjusted forecasts
Investment & Research
Model salmon equity positions with forward price intelligence. Anticipate earnings surprises before they hit. Access the same supply signals that move Mowi, Lerøy, and SalMar valuations.
- Equity thesis validation
- Earnings preview signals
- Sector research data
Retail & Food Service
Negotiate supplier contracts with visibility into cost trajectories. Plan promotional calendars around predicted price windows. Lock in margins when the model signals favorable buying conditions.
- Procurement timing
- Menu cost forecasting
- Supplier negotiations
Request a Demo
See how Salmocast can help you make better decisions with forward-looking salmon price intelligence. Book a personalized walkthrough with our team.
In your demo, we will cover:
- How our 4-week price forecasts are generated
- The 48 signals powering our predictions
- Live walkthrough of the platform
- Custom integration options for your workflow
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about Salmocast and salmon price intelligence
Yes. Salmocast is built on machine learning from the ground up. Our core price forecasting engine uses LightGBM, a gradient boosting framework, trained on 48 real-time signals including biological data, export volumes, weather patterns, and market sentiment. Every prediction includes SHAP explanations so you can see exactly which factors are driving the forecast.
Our forecasts are publicly verified against the SISALMONI benchmark published by Fish Pool ASA. We track direction accuracy (did we correctly predict if prices would rise or fall?) and absolute error. Our track record is fully transparent on the homepage — no black boxes. Current direction accuracy exceeds 85% on verified weeks.
We ingest data from 15+ primary sources including: Fiskeridirektoratet (farm registries), BarentsWatch (lice counts, sea temperatures), Fish Pool ASA (spot prices, forward curves), Statistics Norway (export volumes), ECB (exchange rates), NOAA (climate indices), and industry news feeds. All data is machine-readable and refreshed automatically.
Yes. We offer API access for programmatic integration with your existing systems. Forecast data, supply pressure indices, and price signals can be pulled directly into your ERP, trading platform, or internal dashboards. Contact our team to discuss integration options for enterprise deployments.
For most users, you can start using Salmocast immediately after signup — no implementation required. Just log in and access the platform. For enterprise clients requiring API integration or custom data feeds, typical setup takes 1-2 weeks depending on your technical requirements.
Absolutely. We offer tiered pricing designed for organizations of all sizes. Solo traders and small producers can access core forecasting features affordably, while larger enterprises can unlock advanced capabilities like API access, historical data exports, and custom alerting. Start with a free trial to evaluate fit.
ROI varies by use case, but our clients typically see value through better-timed purchasing decisions, improved contract negotiations, and reduced exposure to price volatility. A single well-timed procurement decision can save multiples of the annual subscription cost. Request a demo to discuss your specific situation.
Forecasts are updated every Tuesday after Fish Pool publishes the official SISALMONI spot price. This ensures our model always trains on the latest confirmed market data. Supply pressure indices and news sentiment update throughout the week as new data arrives.
Still have questions? Contact our team
Recent Announcements
Latest news and updates from Salmocast
