Forecast Track Record

Every prediction verified against the official SISALMONI benchmark. Full transparency, no black boxes.

What We Forecast

Salmocast uses machine learning to forecast weekly Atlantic salmon spot prices (NASDAQ Fish Pool SISALMONI index) up to 4 weeks in advance. Our models analyze biological data, trade flows, currency movements, and market signals to predict price direction and magnitude.

Weekly Forecasts

Published every Tuesday after Fish Pool releases the official price

4-Week Horizon

Price point forecasts for the next 4 weeks

Explainable AI

SHAP analysis shows which factors drove each prediction

How We Measure Success

Direction AccuracyDid we predict up or down correctly?

Compares our forecast direction (vs previous week) to actual price movement

Error PercentageHow close was the price point?

Absolute difference between forecast and actual price as a percentage

Hit RateForecasts within 5% of actual

Percentage of forecasts that landed within 5% of the actual price

Performance Summary

Based on 0 verified forecasts

Complete Forecast History

All forecasts with verified results

WeekPrevious PriceOur ForecastActual PriceErrorDirectionResult
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Methodology Note

All forecasts shown here were generated and stored before the actual price was published. We do not backfill or modify historical forecasts. The SISALMONI index is published by NASDAQ Fish Pool every Tuesday and serves as the authoritative benchmark for Atlantic salmon spot prices.

Direction accuracy measures whether we correctly predicted the price would go up or down compared to the previous week. Hit rate measures how many forecasts landed within 5% of the actual price. Both metrics matter for different use cases.

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1,200+

Farm Sites Tracked

48

Price-Driving Signals

13

Production Zones

10+

Years Historical Data