Trade With Conviction,
Not Guesswork
Every trade deserves a thesis. Our SHAP-powered explainability shows you exactly which factors are driving price direction, so you can make informed decisions and defend your positions with data.
PRICE DIRECTION ANALYSIS
Week 13 Forecast
Predicted Change
+3.2 NOK/kg
Confidence
78%
Why most salmon trades underperform
The salmon market is complex. Without the right tools, even experienced traders struggle.
Information Overload
Traders track dozens of signals across fragmented sources: lice reports, harvest numbers, FX rates, forward curves, news sentiment, and more.
30+
factors affecting salmon prices
No Clear Thesis
Positions taken on gut feel, not quantifiable factors. When asked "why did you make this trade?", the answer is often vague intuition.
67%
of trades lack documented rationale
Hindsight Bias
Easy to explain losses after the fact, hard to predict. "I should have seen that coming" is not a trading strategy.
83%
of post-trade reviews cite obvious factors
SHAP FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Factor Importance Over Time
Factor-Price Correlation (12w)
Supply
+0.78
FX
+0.52
Temp
-0.34
Explainable ML
Know exactly why the model predicts what it does
SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) breaks down every prediction into individual factor contributions. See whether supply pressure, currency movements, or demand signals are driving the forecast.
No more black boxes. Every prediction comes with a clear explanation of which factors are pushing prices up or down, and by how much.
- Build conviction in your trades
- Communicate rationale to stakeholders
- Identify when factors conflict
- Spot regime changes early
Forward Curve Intelligence
Spot vs forward: Find the edge
The shape of the forward curve tells a story. Contango (futures above spot) signals the market expects higher prices ahead. Backwardation (futures below spot) suggests near-term supply pressure.
Use forward curve analysis to time your hedges, negotiate better contract terms, and understand where the smart money is positioned.
EURONEXT ESF FORWARD CURVE
Salmon Futures
Spot
92.40
M1
94.80
+2.6%
M2
96.50
+4.4%
M3
97.85
+5.9%
M4
98.20
+6.3%
All your signals in one view
Stop switching between tabs. Get a unified dashboard of every factor that matters for your trading decisions.
Price Direction
Supply Pressure
Forward Spread
FX Impact
Demand Signals
Biological Risk
Developer API
Integrate signals into your trading systems
Programmatic access to all Salmocast signals and forecasts. Build custom dashboards, automate alerts, or feed data directly into your trading models.
- RESTful API with JSON responses
- Real-time forecast updates
- Historical data access
- Webhook alerts for signal changes
{
"week": 13,
"year": 2026,
"forecast": {
"direction": "bullish",
"predicted_change": 3.2,
"confidence": 0.78,
"unit": "NOK/kg"
},
"shap_factors": {
"supply_pressure": 0.82,
"forward_curve": 0.54,
"eur_nok": 0.31,
"sea_temperature": -0.38,
"demand_index": -0.22
},
"forward_curve": {
"shape": "contango",
"m1_spread": 2.40,
"m4_spread": 5.80
}
}
Trade smarter, not harder
Join professional salmon traders using explainable AI to gain an edge. Build conviction in your positions with data-backed analysis and clear factor attribution.
87.5%
Direction Accuracy
30+
Factors Analyzed
Weekly
Forecast Updates
API
Access Included