Plan Ahead With AI-Powered
Price Forecasts
Stop reacting to market changes. Our machine learning model delivers 4-week salmon price forecasts with 87.5% directional accuracy, giving procurement teams, traders, and farm managers the foresight to plan with confidence.
FISH POOL INDEX - 4 WEEK OUTLOOK
95.56
NOK/kg87% confidence
The cost of planning blind
Without forward visibility, every decision becomes a gamble. Here is what happens when you operate without price forecasts.
Budget Overruns
Procurement teams exceed budgets when prices spike unexpectedly. Without forecasts, you are always one bad week away from blowing your quarterly numbers.
Missed Opportunities
Traders miss optimal entry and exit points without forward visibility. By the time you see the move, it is already priced in.
Harvest Timing Errors
Farm managers sell at the wrong time, leaving money on the table. A week earlier or later can mean thousands in lost revenue per cage.
MODEL FEATURE IMPORTANCE (SHAP)
Net Signal
Factors Used
32 signals
The Solution
Machine learning trained on 30+ market factors
Our LightGBM ensemble model analyzes supply signals (harvest volumes, biomass, mortality), demand indicators (EU imports, Google Trends), biological data (sea lice, temperature), currency movements, and forward curves to predict where prices are heading.
Every prediction comes with confidence intervals and SHAP explainability, so you understand not just what the model predicts, but why.
- Weekly model updates every Tuesday after FishPool release
- 4-week rolling forecast horizon with daily granularity
- Confidence intervals for risk assessment and scenario planning
- SHAP explainability showing which factors drive each prediction
From data to decision in seconds
Our automated pipeline transforms raw market data into actionable price forecasts, updated weekly.
Data Ingestion
30+ data sources updated automatically: FishPool, Eurostat, UN Comtrade, Barentswatch, ECB, and more.
Feature Engineering
Supply pressure indices, demand signals, biological indicators, and currency-adjusted metrics computed daily.
ML Prediction
LightGBM ensemble with confidence scoring generates probabilistic forecasts for each week ahead.
Actionable Insight
Clear directional signals with explainable factors delivered to your dashboard, email, or API.
Proven accuracy you can trust
Our model has been rigorously backtested across 3 years of market data, including volatile periods.
87.5%
Direction Accuracy
Correctly predicted up/down
1.3%
Mean Absolute Error
Average forecast deviation
4 Weeks
Forecast Horizon
Rolling prediction window
156
Weeks Backtested
3 years of validation
PREDICTION ACCURACY OVER TIME
156 Week Backtest (2023-2026)
137
Correct Predictions
19
Incorrect Predictions
R^2 0.94
Correlation Score
Start planning with foresight, not hindsight
Join industry leaders using Salmocast forecasts to make better decisions. Get full access to forecasts and explainability features.
87.5%
Directional Accuracy
30+
Data Sources
Weekly
Model Updates
SHAP
Full Explainability