The SISALMONI index for Week 13 2026 has been published, and we can now verify our forecast against the actual market price. Our model correctly predicted the direction of price movement.
The Numbers
| Previous Week (W12) Actual | 95.96 NOK/kg |
| Our W13 Forecast | 95.91 NOK/kg |
| W13 Actual Price | 91.43 NOK/kg |
| Forecast Error | -4.48 NOK (4.9%) |
| Direction | Correct |
Analysis
Our forecast predicted a slight decline from 95.96 to 95.91 NOK/kg. The actual price came in at 91.43 NOK/kg—a larger drop than we anticipated. While our price point was off by 4.48 NOK, we correctly predicted that prices would move downward.
The 4.9% error falls just within our 5% threshold for a "hit." More importantly, the directional call was correct. For traders and procurement teams making buy/hold/sell decisions, knowing the direction of price movement is often the most valuable signal.
Transparency
This forecast was generated and stored before the W13 actual price was published. We do not backfill or adjust historical forecasts. You can view our complete forecast history on the Track Record page.